Analyzing The Impact Of Von Miller’s Extension

UPDATE (2:30 PM MT): Miller actually got a $17 million signing bonus and $6 million roster bonus in 2016.  This post has been corrected to adjust accordingly.

Per contract details reported by Mike Klis, the breakdown of Von Miller’s new six-year, $114.5 million extension will looks similar to this:

Year  Salary/Roster Bonus*
(Gtd)
Prorated Bonus Cap Number Dead Money
(pre 6/1)
Cap Savings
2016 $8,000,000 $3,400,000 $11,400,000 $42,000,000 ($30,600,000)
2017 $17,000,000 $3,400,000 $20,400,000 $30,600,000 ($10,100,000)
2018 $19,000,000 $3,400,000 $22,400,000 $29,800,000 ($6,800,000)
2019 $17,500,000 $3,400,000 $20,900,000 $15,800,000 $5,100,000
2020 $18,000,000 $3,400,000 $21,400,000 $3,400,000 $18,000,000
2021 $18,000,000 $18,000,000 $0 $18,000,000

*Klis did not specify the breakdown between base salary and roster bonuses in his report, but for purposes of the salary cap this is irrelevant.  What it will mean is that Miller gets more money in his pocket before each season starts from whatever money is assigned to the roster bonus in question.

Let’s take a look at the facts, and then I’ll cast some opinions on what it could it could mean for the Broncos’ future:

Continue reading Analyzing The Impact Of Von Miller’s Extension

How Lucky Are We?

Now that this is out of the way and while we all wait for @Nick full break down, I thought it was worth taking a moment to reflect.

While participating in the Broncos Greatest Game Tournament put on by @Jeremy (KUDOS BTW, this has been a lot of fun taking so many trips down memory lane), I had to force myself to consider just how great the last few seasons have been for Broncos Country and where it all is going to rank in NFL history.

In the last round, I made a comment that I thought last year’s regular season game against the Green Bay Packers was the “Greatest regular season game for a Defense in NFL history. ” This prompted @VonSwenson to, rightfully so, question if I really believed that (see thread here).

GOAT

After the fold, I think I can answer for Broncos Country how great not only that game was, but also just How Lucky We Are. Continue reading How Lucky Are We?

Broncos Extend Von Miller

Per contract details reported by Mike Klis, Von Miller’s contract table should look similar to this.  You can find my longer take on the deal here.

Year Salary/Roster Bonus*
(Gtd)
Prorated Bonus Cap Number Dead Money
(pre 6/1)
Cap Savings
2016 $8,000,000 $3,400,000 $11,400,000 $42,000,000 ($30,600,000)
2017 $17,000,000 $3,400,000 $20,400,000 $30,600,000 ($10,100,000)
2018 $19,000,000 $3,400,000 $22,400,000 $29,800,000 ($6,800,000)
2019 $17,500,000 $3,400,000 $20,900,000 $15,800,000 $5,100,000
2020 $18,000,000 $3,400,000 $21,400,000 $3,400,000 $18,000,000
2021 $18,000,000 $18,000,000 $0 $18,000,000

*Klis did not specify the breakdown between base salary and roster bonuses in his report, but for purposes of the salary cap this is irrelevant.  What it will mean is that Miller gets more money in his pocket before each season starts from whatever money is assigned to the roster bonus in question. Continue reading Broncos Extend Von Miller

Broncos Greatest Games, Round 4. Playoff games added

On to Round 4. I decided to keep it simple and reseed the regular season games based upon their vote count in the last round. The 8 regular season games that get to advance are: NWE 30-24 11/29/2015; OAK 30-7 10/16/1977; RAI 22-19   10/28/1984; GNB 29-10 11/1/2015; SDG 35-24 10/15/2012; CHI 31-29 11/16/1987; OAK 27-24 11/13/2000; DAL 42-23   9/13/1998.

I did not make another spreadsheet, but the bracket is in order below.

1 CLE 23-20 01/11/87 – BYE

16 HOU 34-10 01/10/88

The Broncos jumped to a 14–0 early lead by converting two turnovers into two touchdowns. On the second play of the game, Denver defensive back Steve Wilson recovered a fumbled lateral pass by running back Mike Rozier at the Houston one-yard line, setting up Gene Lang’s one-yard rushing touchdown. Then on the Oilers’ next drive, linebacker Karl Mecklenburg intercepted a pass from Warren Moon in the end zone. The Broncos drove 72 yards and scored on John Elway’s 27-yard touchdown pass to tight end Clarence Kay. Both teams exchanged field goals in the second period before Elway threw a one-yard touchdown pass to Kay.

In the fourth quarter, Moon completed a 19-yard touchdown to wide receiver Ernest Givins, but it was countered with Elway’s three-yard touchdown run. Broncos’ receiver Vance Johnson caught four passes for 105 yards, but he was injured in the game and had to miss the AFC Championship Game and saw limited action in Super Bowl XXII. NBC Sports’ game introduction is available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PjIKJHMOg08. Limited game highlights are available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qb5IUW9aKLk.

 

17 PIT 24-23 01/07/90

The Broncos entered this game as 10 point favorites, yet endured quite a scare in the first game of this super bowl run.  The Broncos had a dominant Wade Phillips lead D that year, finishing 1st in points allowed.
Bubby Bristor started this game for the Steelers.  Pittsburgh jumped out to an early lead, and the Broncos were fighting to catch up all game long.  Down 23-17 with 7 minutes to go, Elway lead the team on a 71 yard TD drive to take the lead.  Bristor had his chance, but the Broncos forced a bad snap on 3rd and 10 and recovered to seal the win.

Continue reading Broncos Greatest Games, Round 4. Playoff games added

Fantasy Football QB Rankings

While everyone comes here to read good analysis of football, I imagine many of us have fun with fantasy football.

So I’m going to share my fantasy football positional rankings over the next few days, along with general advice about each position. Keep in mind this is from a fantasy league perspective and that it does not necessarily reflect what happens on the actual football field.

And I’ll use this first post to ask if there is any interest in me running a fantasy football league. If enough people are interested, I will put a league together on Yahoo. I’d be looking for at least 10 teams but no more than 14. Just let me know in the comments if you are interested.

With that in mind, let’s examine the first of my fantasy football rankings: the quarterbacks.
Continue reading Fantasy Football QB Rankings

NFL Success vs. Prime TV Appearances

If you’ve watched the NFL for long enough, you’ll know that being among the most successful teams does not necessarily guarantee that you’ll be among the most watched teams.  The decision on who gets in the most prominent TV spots depends on several factors, some of which are maddening to consider at times.  So in another fun adventure with data while we await training camp, I was curious to see just how much correlation there has been between the two.

Continue reading NFL Success vs. Prime TV Appearances