With the week 1 2018 Roster set, I thought I’d take a way too early look at the 2019 roster. I made this visual, breaking down the current roster, practice squad (red) and IR/PUP (green), with 2019 RFAs highlighted in orange, and 2019 URFAs highlighted in Blue.
For fun, and to gain perspective, I thought I’d look back at the Broncos training camp cuts with two years of hindsight. Like every year, roster cut downs were a contentious topic, with fan favorites who emerged with strong performances in the preseason who didn’t make the cut.
I went back to our predict the roster competition, and listed everyone who received votes at some point along the way, yet who didn’t make the team. I listed the final # of votes each player received in the final round of voting, shortly before the 4th preseason game (IE 10 of 12 participants thought Sanchez would make the team). I italicized players who made the practice squad, and bolded players who are still in the league
After the Keenum signing, I thought I’d try to give a quick overview of where I thought we stand. I had a long day at work so this will be shorter than I had hopped, and sorry for any errors or typos.
After the Case Keenum Signing today, our effective cap space sits at 6.7 million for 2018, and 22 million for 2019.
2018 Cap space
|Starting per OTC||29.9 million|
|Case Keenum (Net)||-17.5 million|
|2018 Draft Class (Net)||-5.7 million|
|Remaining 2018 Cap Space||6.7 million|
2019 Cap Space
|Starting Cap Space||59 million|
|Case Keenum||-18 million|
|2018 Draft Class (gross)||-14 million|
|Getting roster to 51||-5 million|
|Remaining 2019 cap space||22 million|
Wednesday it was announced that I’ll begin writing for a new Denver sports website, 5280SportsNetwork.com. The site was started by talk radio host Nate Lundy, and has been growing quickly. I’ll be writing approximately one analytical piece for them per week, and I am very excited for this opportunity.
I think we all know that Kubiak has been able to get a lot out of his QBs, but I think few of us realize just how deep and impressive this accomplishment is. I did some research and looked up the stats of every QB who had started at least 4 games when Kubiak was either the HC, OC or QB Coach, and compared that QBs stats while playing for Kubiak, to the rest of their career. The results astounded me, and I found quite a few interesting bits of trivia along the way. It is incredible how Kubiak was able to elevate the play of so many different QBs, from the all-time greats (Elway, Steve Young), to the talented underachievers (Plummer), to the career backups (Frerotte, Brister, Rosenfels), to the first round busts (Carr), to the stagnated Veterans (Flacco), to the downright awful (TJ Yates), and everything in between.
To take our minds off a disappointing loss, I thought I’d share a piece looking back at a moment in recent Broncos history, that many fans seem to have already forgotten, October 2014. I’m using IAOFM as a bit of a time machine, and will link to their content throughout the article. (Many thanks to them for not only writing this content, but continuing to leave it up).
Setting the stage:
The Broncos were only 8 months removed from the disappointing end to the 2013 season. The offense that had set records for most points and yards in a season had remained largely intact, losing only Knowshon Moreno, Eric Decker, and Zane Beadles, and filling those holes with Emmanuel Sanders and a returning Ryan Clady. The defense that despite some overachieving performances had been called soft after the super bowl, had been retooled with additions of Bradley Roby, TJ Ward, Aqib Talib and Demarcus Ware.
The Broncos started the season well, opening 2 and 1 with wins against the Colts and Chiefs and a hard fought OT loss on the road against the Seahawks (who were in the midst of a 28-2 stretch at home.) JT was off to a hot start with 5 TD catches in 3 games.
I thought I’d try out what might be a new series for me, taking a closer look at the most recent game and trends using Pro Football Reference’s tools to look at Snap Counts, play by play data, and historical data. Let me know what you think and if you have any feedback and I might make this a regular occurrence:
Looking at the Broncos Run Plays
The Broncos had quite a few long runs that accounted for most of their yards. They broke off runs of 10 yards or more 6 times (22% of runs), and that accounted for 66% of their rushing yards. I’m very excited about their ability to break off big plays. On the flip side, they were stopped for 2 yards or less 12 times (44% of runs), and 1 yard or less 9 times (33% of runs). Two of those plays were successful short yardage conversions (CJ’s 3rd and 1 and 4th and 1 conversions). Continue reading A closer look with Pro Football Reference
In light of the moves today (particularly the Bibbs over Hillman move), I thought I’d take a stab at projecting who the Broncos special teams contributors might be this year. I’ve never coached or played organized 11-11 football, so I’m probably not the most qualified to look into this niche topic. But I’m armed with special teams snap counts from Pro Football Reference and going to give it a shot.
I received updates from a few players, so here is the updated roster breakdown. Let me know if you see any errors. I updated these manually rather than use excel, so I could have missed something. Nothing changed too drastically, but it was interesting to see what changed after Saturday. Hopefully this is a decent guide for what to watch for on Thursday.
I’m curious to see how people’s projected rosters have differed after last night, especially at QB, RB, LB and Punter, so I’m gonna do a round 2.
You can copy and paste your old roster from the comments last time. If at the top of your comment you can put what changed from your last roster to this one, it would be a big help when I compile these (ie Cut Sanchez and Colquitt, replaced with Watson and Dixon). If you didn’t submit a roster last time, but want to this time, feel free (copy and paste roster below into a comment and delete out players you don’t want). Since roster cuts down to 75 are due Tuesday, I’m going to cut this off at 6 PM mountain time Monday, and try and post an update that night. Here’s a link to the last round.
One other thing, try and make it clearer what you want to do with the suspended Keo. If you think he’s going to earn a roster spot after his suspension, clarify what player you think he’ll replace. If you think he’ll stay on the team but be cut after 2 weeks, note that as well.