This is an analysis of the age-related decline of older quarterbacks. To analyse this, I originally thought I’d plot a series of points for each QB, showing passer rating vs. passing yards. Then we could see how they progressed in terms of both quantity and quality. However, the graph got very messy after only a few players, as shown. (Peyton Manning is the dark blue line.)
Broncos Wednesday Presser Highlights
The Denver Broncos hosted a press conference Wednesday at which Gary Kubiak, Peyton Manning and others addressed the media about Sunday’s AFC title game against the New England Patriots.
Following the jump are some noteworthy tweets from the presser.
Continue reading Broncos Wednesday Presser Highlights
Midweek Musings: Broncos-Patriots Isn’t About You-Know-What-Matchup
All week long, you’re likely to spend your time hearing talk about the upcoming AFC championship game between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots as if it boiled down to a one-on-one matchup or one factor being responsible for whatever the outcome will be.
Julian Edelman’s return means a Patriots win! Chris Harris’ shoulder injury means the Broncos secondary is in trouble! Patriots O-line figured out how to stop the pass rush last week! Every dropped pass is Peyton Manning’s decline! And the one you will hear more than any other, BRADY VS. MANNING FOR THE FINAL TIME, THERE WILL NEVER BE ANOTHER GREAT QB RIVALRY!
That’s just a short list, of course, but my larger point is that you can’t really fit this conference title matchup into a neat little box with just a couple of factoids and trivia tidbits that explain everything about what will happen. We know that football is a complex sport and, while every sports reporter wants to boil a game down to one single play (I should know, I’m a sports reporter in real life), multiple factors play into the outcome.
Continue reading Midweek Musings: Broncos-Patriots Isn’t About You-Know-What-Matchup
Bolden’s Season Over; Harris’ Shoulder Still Hurt
The first bit of news was already mentioned elsewhere, but here it is.
Gary Kubiak said Broncos will put S/special teamer Omar Bolden on IR this week. Partially torn PCL.
— Lindsay Jones (@bylindsayhjones) January 18, 2016
Tough blow, especially after Bolden had a great punt return to start his day. One would suspect somebody gets moved up from the practice squad and Shiloh Keo will be active for special teams against New England.
Chris Harris Jr. "didn't get any worse" Sunday … played with one arm, Kubiak said. "I appreciate him working through it."
— Andrew Mason (@MaseDenver) January 18, 2016
Kubiak expects Harris to play Sunday, but he will be limited.
The real key, though, is for the Broncos to get the pass rush going and keep those players healthy. The Patriots facing the Chiefs with Justin Houston limited to eight snaps and Tamba Hali not at full strength is one thing, but if the Broncos can keep their defensive front seven intact throughout the game, it could help counter what ails Harris.
Of course, it’s also worth crossing our fingers that the Broncos don’t lose any more defensive backs to injury.
Gut Reactions: ‘We’re On To New England’
There was a point where I tweeted out that today’s Broncos-Steelers game didn’t feel like a one-point game.
We can all feel pretty good that it was, though, because it gave the Broncos a chance to win in the fourth quarter despite having too many hiccups on offense and defense.
Continue reading Gut Reactions: ‘We’re On To New England’
Playoff Observations: PIT vs DEN (20-13)
Onto the next round. Here are some of my observations after today’s game.
Game Thread: Steelers at Broncos, 2015 Divisional Round
Open Thread: 2015 Divisional Round Weekend
Broncos Extend Derek Wolfe For Four Years
"You always want to sign your own." - #Broncos EVP/GM @johnelway on signing DE Derek Wolfe through the 2019 season pic.twitter.com/wh6toCNwP3
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) January 15, 2016
Well, that’s one thing the Broncos can cross off their to-do list for the offseason.
And to think I was spending my time this afternoon tinkering with my offseason game plan for the Broncos. Mind you, though, that’s a good thing in this case.
UPDATE: Ian Rapoport has the contract’s total sum and some details on the breakdown. More information should be coming as to what are the full guarantees, injury-only guarantees and signing bonus.
#Broncos signed DE Derek Wolfe to a 4-year contract extension worth $36.7M, source said. He wanted to stay in Denver, could've gotten more
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) January 15, 2016
For #Broncos DE Derek Wolfe, he gets $17.5M in guarantees on his 4-year, $36.7M deal ($9.175M average).
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) January 15, 2016
ADDENDUM, 9 PM MT (Nick): Using Mike Klis’s report as a source, the contract breakdown for Wolfe should be something close to this:
Base Salary | Prorated Bonus | Roster Bonus | Workout Bonus | Cap Number |
Cap Savings (pre-June 1 cut) |
|
2016 | $4,500,000* | $1,875,000* | $500,000‡ | $50,000 | $6,925,000 | ($5,075,000) |
2017 | $5,500,000^ | $1,875,000* | $500,000‡ | $50,000 | $7,925,000 | $2,300,000 |
2018 | $8,000,000† | $1,875,000* | $500,000‡ | $50,000 | $10,425,000 | $6,675,000 |
2019 | $9,000,000† | $1,875,000* | $500,000‡ | $50,000 | $11,425,000 | $9,550,000 |
* fully guaranteed
^ guaranteed for injury only, fully guaranteed on the seventh day of the 2017 league year
† Klis did not specify Wolfe’s base salaries for these years, but these numbers are educated guesses to sum up the total contract worth to $36.7 million
‡ Per-game roster bonuses
Broncos-Steelers Friday Injury Report
Getting to the Broncos first…
#broncos Juwan Thompson limited w illness. Osweiler showed enough today to be backup on Sunday w knee issue
— Troy Renck (@TroyRenck) January 15, 2016
Everybody else was a full participant. Brock Osweiler will be questionable for Sunday’s game, but Gary Kubiak remains optimistic Osweiler will be active Sunday. Every other player is expected to play (other than whoever is made a game-day inactive).
On the other side, we know by this point that Antonio Brown and DeAngelo Williams will be out and Ben Roethlisberger will be questionable. Per this article from the Steelers’ website, no other player has been ruled out.