Players To Watch At The NFL Scouting Combine (February 28 – March 6, 2017)

Hello again, Broncos fans! There’s been a lot of discussion regarding draft prospects in the daily threads here at Thin Air, but I thought it would be useful to take a good look at several players who are likely on the Broncos’ radar in one easy-to-reference location. This post (and the comments below it) will serve as a convenient list of names to watch at the upcoming Underwear Olympics in Indianapolis. So let’s get to it.

Continue reading Players To Watch At The NFL Scouting Combine (February 28 – March 6, 2017)

Striking A Balance Between Free Agents And Comp Picks

In today’s Orange Overview, Nick has addressed the error he made in determining the compensatory pick formula as it pertained to Russell Okung. I did want to address comp picks for a minute because, while it’s disappointing the Broncos didn’t get the two third-round picks we thought they might get, that we need to remember about striking a balance between addressing immediate needs and acquiring comp picks.

I think most of us would agree that we don’t want the Broncos operating like the Packers tend to do, in which Ted Thompson seems uninterested in signing any UFA because he’s stubborn about acquiring comp picks, even when the Packers don’t have a lot of UFAs of their own that Thompson isn’t prioritizing for extensions.
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2017 Compensatory Picks Announced

The Broncos will get picks in the 3rd (#101), 5th (#177), and two in the 7th (#252 and #253).

Press release is here.

In sum, two adverse changes were made to my Broncos’ projection that I both anticipated might happen.  Danny Trevathan was valued as a 5th rounder, of which I thought was a very close call, and isn’t a huge deal.  But the real blow against the Broncos was that the compensatory formula decided to count the entirety of Russell Okung’s contract (as well as Kelvin Beachum’s, structured the same way).  That caused Okung to be easily valued as a 3rd rounder, and thus canceled out their highest 3rd round CFA lost, and that was Brock Osweiler.  In turn, it freed up a 7th round pick for Vernon Davis.  The Broncos’ other 7th rounder, for Ryan Harris, will be the Mr. Irrelevant pick once again for Denver.  This year, I personally hope they won’t trade it.

Broncos Decline Russell Okung’s Option: A Postmortem

One of the top pending questions surrounding the Broncos before the 2017 league year begins was whether a 4-year option on Russell Okung’s contract would be exercised.  Today, the reports are that the answer is no.  Reactions were swift now that the answer is reasonably known, but I think it’s prudent to take a breath and look at the facts surrounding why the Broncos made this decision.  Then, we can take a look at what the future may hold at the left tackle position. Continue reading Broncos Decline Russell Okung’s Option: A Postmortem

How Broncos Should Prioritize Offseason Needs

As we approach the start of the 2017 NFL league year, I figured it would be a good time to go over the Denver Broncos’ needs again, in terms of how to think about how they should be prioritized in each phase of the offseason.

The way the NFL offseason works, you go through three phases of free agency, then the draft, then what is probably best described as the “final business” period, ranging from players who were franchise tagged getting long-term deals to veterans who take low-cost deals for a chance to compete for a roster spot.
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Observing 2017’s Left Tackle Market

There was a fair amount of news yesterday regarding the status of multiple left tackles as the 2016 league year wraps down.  Cameron Wolfe added to the conversation by expressing proper skepticism on Russell Okung’s four year option being picked up. With the possibility that the Broncos will be looking for a new left tackle for 2017, I thought it would be instructive to take a look at where all 32 teams stand at the position so that it’s easier to reference what possibilities the Broncos have in changing up the position. Continue reading Observing 2017’s Left Tackle Market

Three Suggested Moves For Every NFC Team

Continuing with where I left off the other day, here are three moves I believe each of the NFC teams should make this offseason. Again, the categories:

Re-sign: I will pick one unrestricted free agent each team should consider bringing back at the right price. This will only apply to UFAs and I will include players who are likely to get the franchise tag.

Let him walk: I will pick one unrestricted free agent each team should allow to test the market and not prioritize bringing back. Again, this only applies to UFAs.

Cut: I will pick one player on each team’s roster who is not set to become a UFA but should be cut for either cap or performance reasons. Some of these players might be put on the trading block, though.
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Three Suggested Moves For Every AFC Team

As a short offseason primer, I’m going to list three moves I believe each team should make this offseason, one in three different categories.

Re-sign: I will pick one unrestricted free agent each team should consider bringing back at the right price. This will only apply to UFAs and I will include players who are likely to get the franchise tag.

Let him walk: I will pick one unrestricted free agent each team should allow to test the market and not prioritize bringing back. Again, this only applies to UFAs.

Cut: I will pick one player on each team’s roster who is not set to become an UFA but should be cut for either cap or performance reasons. Some of these players might be put on the trading block, though.

I’ll start with the AFC and, later in the week, review the NFC.
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More On Vance Joseph And Elway’s Thinking

I’ve had more time to think about the reasons why John Elway opted to hire Vance Joseph over Kyle Shanahan for the head coaching position. Many people here (and elsewhere) thought Shanahan would be the better hire because he would keep the same offensive system in place. Upon further review, I think Elway’s reasoning for his choice of Joseph was more than just about keeping consistency.

When we look at the most successful current coach in the NFL, Bill Belichick, there are three things that have allowed him to achieve that success level: Evaluating personnel and getting the final say, overseeing the team and letting his coordinators handle play calling, and having stability at the quarterback position.
Continue reading More On Vance Joseph And Elway’s Thinking