Proportion Out The Cause Of The Broncos’ 4-6 Record

What is the biggest cause of the Broncos' 4-6 record? (You're encouraged to apportion percentages in the comments.)

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If you’ve been following Football Outsiders DVOA, you’ll know that it has been more positive on the Broncos than common wisdom, as they’ve regularly been in the top ten despite hovering below .500 for quite some time. DVOA founder Aaron Schatz got this question on Twitter, replying with a confirmatory answer:

It’s a good question, so I thought I would open this up to a poll. Choose which of these three issues you think is the biggest culprit, and then in the comments you are encouraged to apportion percentages as to how much you think each of the three is influencing. I’m eager to see what football observers in general think.