Brads NFL Picks Week Ten 2016

Brads NFL Picks   Week Ten   2016
Brads Picks was 9 – 4   last week and is  78 – 53 – 2  on the season.  The g,b,u from that:
(Off last week: Arizona, Chicago, Cincinnati, Washington, New England, Houston)
the good:                       
Falcons 43, Tampa Bay 28 (TNF)  –  These two were about equal in passing yards, and each had 4 passing TDs with no INTs.  But the Falcons had a TD on the ground; Bucs didn’t.

Cowboys 35, Cleveland 10  –  Browns started Cody Kessler (Rookie from USC  –  3rd round) and he had a decent day, throwing a TD and no INTs.  Dak Prescott threw 3 TDs and no INTs, and the Browns couldn’t muster a run game at all.
Lions 22, Minnesota 16 (OT)  –  Matt Prater kicked a 58 yard FG for the Lions to send the game to OT.  Then Matt Stafford hit Golden Tate for a 28 yard TD for the walk off win.
New York Giants 28, Eagles 23 –  Carson  Wentz threw two INTs on the Eagles first two drives, but Eli Manning also threw two.  Not much of a ground game from either team.  Put it down to a close division game with the home team winning.
Miami 27, Jets 23  –  Rookie Kenyan Drake returned a kick off 96 yards with 5 minutes left for the final (winning) score.  Lots of lead changes in this division game.  Ryan Fitzpatrick threw two more INTs (he leads the league with 13).
Kansas City 19, Jaguars 14  –  Jaguars had 449 yards of offense (205 on the ground to 231 (and 62) for the Chiefs.  Chiefs could only muster 1 TD, while the Jags had two.  But the Chiefs came away with a win because the Jags turned it over 4 times.
Saints 41, San Francisco 23  –  31 – 20 at the half.
San Diego 43, Titans 35  – Melvin Gordon ran for 196 yards on 32 carries, while the Chargers held DeMarco Murray to 51 on 14 and the Bolts picked off Marcus Mariota twice.
Seattle 31, Bills 25 (MNF)  –  Bills held the Quacks to 33 rush yards while they got 162 on the ground.  But two one-handed catches in the first half by Jimmy Graham helped the Quacks get to a 28-17 lead at the half.  Bills tried to rally but could only outscore the Quacks by 5 in the 4th.
the bad:
 Baltimore 21, Steelers 14  – It wasn’t that close.  Steelers scored all their points in the 4th.  Both QBs threw one INT and one TD.  Ravens snapped a four game losing streak while the Steelers have now lost three in a row.  Both teams are 4-4.
Panthers 13, LA 10  –  Panthers 7, Rams 0 at the end of the first quarter.  Same after three quarters.  4th quarter must have seemed quite exciting for anyone watching this.  Both teams managed 59 yards on the ground.
Colts 31, Green Bay 26  –  Colts Jordan Todman took the opening KO for 99 yards and a TD.  Andrew Luck threw two INTs;  Aaron Rodgers threw one.
the ugly:
Oakland 30, Broncos  20 (SNF)  –  Raiders controlled the game from the start with 218 rushing yards while holding the Broncos to 33.  It was 20-10 at the half; no score in the third; and both teams scored ten in the 4th.
this week’s games:         (off this week: Buffalo, Detroit, Indianapolis, Oakland) 
the TNF game:
Cleveland (0-9) at Baltimore (4-4)  –  Division game.   Let’s have a little fun and hope  the Browns can get a win against a division opponent.
the 11:00 MDT games:
Houston (5-3) at Jacksonville (2-6)  –  Division game.  Jaguars played tough at Arrowhead last week but 4 turnovers cost them the game.  Texans aren’t very good on the road.  I like Jacksonville here.
Kansas City (6-2) at Carolina (3-5)  –  Chiefs struggled to beat the Jags at Arrowhead last week.  Take Carolina.
Los Angeles (3-5) at New York Jets (3-6)  –  Jets will likely start 2nd year QB Bryce Petty (out of Baylor in the 4th round).  Ryan Fitzpatrick suffered a knee sprain last week in Miami.  Petty got in the game briefly and was 2 of 2 for 19 yards.  Both teams are very good at defending the run so it will be up to Petty and Case Keenum to generate enough field position for a FG or two.  I’ll take the Rams in a very low scoring game.
Atlanta (6-3) at Philadelphia (4-4)  –  Matt Ryan leads the league with 2,980 yards and 23 TDs and just 4 INTs.  Eagles and their rookie QB, Carson Wentz, are flagging a bit.  I’m taking the Falcons.
Green Bay (4-4) at Tennessee (4-5)  –  Both teams lost last week, but the Packers lost at home.  Titans lost at San Diego.  Packers are sputtering quite a bit.  I like Tennessee and their ground game.
Minnesota (5-3)  at Washington (4-3-1)  –  Vikings kave lost three in a row.  They can’t run the ball and they can’t protect the QB.  Washington is a solid team; they had a bye last week, while the Vikings suffered an OT loss at home.
Chicago (2-6) at Tampa Bay (3-5)  –  Tampa is winless at home this season, and will be without two starters on the OL.  Bears are coming off a bye.
Denver (6-3) at New Orleans (4-4)  –  Saints have won 4 in a row and are rolling.  Broncos seem stagnant on both sides of the ball.  Drew Brees is excellent in his Superdome, and the Broncos will be without their best CB (Aqib Talib) and their best DB (Derek Wolfe).  Take the Saints.
the 2:05 MDT games:
Miami (4-4) at San Diego (4-5)  –  Jay Ajayi will get some yards on the ground for the Fins but Felipe Rios will get more in the air for the Chargers.  If they can hold DeMarco Murrray to 51 yards they can limit Ajayi effectively.
the 2:25 MDT games:
San Francisco (1-7) at Arizona (3-4-1)  –  Division game.  Niners are the worst team in the league.  Take Arizona.
Dallas (7-1) at Pittsburgh (4-4)  –  Dallas has won 6 straight; Pittsburgh has lost three straight.  But one of those losses was with Landry Jones at QB and last week’s loss at Baltimore was Ben the R’s first game back after a knee injury, and he never plays well at Baltimore.  Dallas will be without it’s top CB and top safety, so look for Antonio Brown to have a big day.  Take the Steelers.
the SNF game:
Seattle (4-2-1) at New England (7-1)  –   Seattle played on MNF.  The Cheaters had a bye.  Take the Cheaters.
the MNF game:
Cincinnati (3-4-1) at New York Giants (5-3)  –  Tough call.  Both teams can be screw ups.  I’ll go with the Bengals – they were off last week.