Time to roll out another set of Not So Scientific Rankings. Links to the rankings used are below.
Pro Football Focus Power Rankings
Pro Football Reference Simple Ranking System
Five Thirty Eight ELO Playoff Probability Rankings
Football Outsiders DVOA Rankings
Unfortunately, Andrew Mason has not posted his power rankings as of this morning, so I am moving forward without them.
1. Arizona 3 1 1 1 – 1.5
2. New England 2 6 2 4 – 2.8
3. Carolina 1 7 3 6 – 4.25
4. Cincinnati 4 2 9 3 – 4.5
5. Seattle 10 3 5 2 – 5
6. Pittsburgh 7 5 8 7 – 5.4
7. Kansas City 12 4 4 5 – 6.25
8. Denver 8 8 6 8 – 7.5
9. Green Bay 6 9 7 10 – 8
10. Minnesota 5 10 10 11 – 9
11. New York Jets 14 11 11 9 – 11.25
12. Buffalo 16 13 13 12 – 13.5
13. Oakland 9 14 23 13 – 14.75
14. Houston 13 17 12 19 – 15.25
15. St. Louis 18 12 17 15 – 15.5
16. Washington 19 18 15 14 – 16.5
17. Atlanta 11 22 14 24 – 17.75
18. Detroit 24 15 16 16 – 17.75
19. Chicago 17 16 24 18 – 18.75
20. Baltimore 20 19 19 17 – 18.75
21. Philadelphia 21 23 21 22 – 21.75
22. New York Giants 28 21 18 20 – 21.75
23. Indianapolis 22 28 20 26 – 24
24. New Orleans 15 29 25 28 – 24.25
25. Dallas 23 26 22 27 – 24.5
26. San Diego 32 20 26 25 – 25.75
27. Tampa Bay 25 30 28 21 – 26
28. Jacksonville 26 27 31 23 – 26.75
29. Cleveland 29 25 30 29 – 28.25
30. San Francisco 31 24 27 32 – 28.5
31. Miami 27 31 29 30 – 29.25
32. Tennessee 30 32 32 31 – 31.25
As we approach the final week of the season, and knowing that one coach has already been given his walking papers (Chip Kelly) and one coach who will be back next season (Gus Bradley), it’s worth asking who else may not be back for 2016. Let’s review the coaches and general managers that have been discussed as potential firings and who, among them, are likely out or likely staying.
Miami: This one is obvious: Dan Campbell won’t get the interim tag removed. The Dolphins need some serious rebuilding but it will be difficult with the contract Ndamukong Suh got. Ideally, they’d clean house in the front office, too, but that doesn’t seem likely to happen. Prediction: Front office stays, Campbell is gone.
Cleveland: I think it’s clear that both Ray Farmer and Mike Pettine will be out. The Browns need to first find a new GM, before they settle on a coach. Whoever becomes GM needs to be somebody who will be cautious with free agency and draft moves, and not try to make a splash immediately.
Indianapolis: Signs are pointing to Ryan Grigson and Chuck Pagano both losing their jobs, but it’s possible Jim Irsay picks one over the other. If I was going to choose one to stay, it would be Pagano, but that means you need to find a GM who is willing to work with him. If Grigson is gone, it may be best to let Pagano move on so the Colts can have a GM and coach who are on the same page.
Tennessee: Mike Mularkey won’t get the interim tag removed. It remains to be seen if Ruston Webster, who has been the GM since 2012, will be back. It’s possible the Titans could choose to start over entirely and bring in a new GM, along with a new head coach.
San Diego: General manager Tom Teleseco got an extension, but Mike McCoy’s status remains uncertain. It’s hard to fault McCoy for all the injuries the Chargers had. I believe he will stay.
New York Giants: I expect Tom Coughlin to retire. Jerry Reese likely stays as general manager because he has drafted well and generally been smart with free agency.
Detroit: Jim Caldwell hasn’t been that bad this season, so it would make sense to keep him. But the Lions are looking for a new general manager, who may want to hire his own coach.
New Orleans: If Mickey Loomis isn’t fired as general manager, ownership isn’t paying attention. It’s hard to say what will happen with Sean Payton, but if the Saints get a new GM, who knows what will happen.
San Francisco: I imagine Jim Tomsula gets another season, unless ownership decides to send general manager Trent Baalke packing. And given Baalke’s recent poor track record with drafting, it wouldn’t be surprising if he was let go.
