Games highlighted in green indicate games in which FO gave the #7 seed a higher DVOA rating than the #2 seed. Games highlighted in yellow are games in which the #7 seed’s DVOA was not higher, but in which the #7 seed did beat the #2 seed in the regular season.
| AFC | NFC | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | #7 | W-L | DVOA | #2 | W-L | DVOA | #7 | W-L | DVOA | #2 | W-L | DVOA |
| 2019 | PIT | 8-8 | -5.5% (19) | KC | 12-4 | 30.2% (2) | LAR | 9-7 | 5.5% (12) | GB | 13-3 | 7.7% (10) |
| 2018 | PIT | 9-6-1 | 11.2% (9) | NE | 11-5 | 14.2% (7) | MIN | 8-7-1 | 8.1% (10) | LAR | 13-3 | 24.0% (2) |
| 2017 | BAL | 9-7 | 18.6% (7) | PIT | 13-3 | 27.1% (4) | DET | 9-7 | 5.5% (12) | MIN | 13-3 | 25.0% (4) |
| 2016 | TEN | 9-7 | 3.5% (15) | KC | 12-4 | 13.5% (6) | TB | 9-7 | -3.0% (22) | ATL | 11-5 | 19.8% (3) |
| 2015 | NYJ | 10-6 | 12.4% (9) | NE | 12-4 | 22.6% (6) | ATL | 8-8 | -16.1% (26) | ARI | 13-3 | 27.4% (3) |
| 2014 | KC | 9-7 | 9.9% (10) | DEN | 13-3 | 29.5% (2) | PHI | 10-6 | 12.8% (7) | GB | 12-4 | 23.3% (3) |
| 2013 | PIT | 8-8 | 0.9% (15) | NE | 12-4 | 19.0% (5) | ARI | 10-6 | 9.8% (11) | CAR | 12-4 | 24.9% (3) |
| 2012 | PIT | 8-8 | -1.0% (18) | NE | 12-4 | 34.9% (3) | CHI | 10-6 | 20.5% (6) | SF | 11-4-1 | 29.9% (4) |
| 2011 | TEN | 9-7 | 7.2% (13) | BAL | 12-4 | 17.2% (7) | CHI | 8-8 | 1.8% (15) | SF | 13-3 | 19.0% (6) |
| 2010 | SD | 9-7 | 17.6% (7) | PIT | 12-4 | 37.3% (2) | NYG | 10-6 | 14.5% (9) | CHI | 11-5 | 3.0% (16) |
| 2009 | HOU | 9-7 | 9.7% (14) | SD | 13-3 | 13.4% (11) | ATL | 9-7 | 2.3% (18) | MIN | 12-4 | 17.7% (7) |
| 2008 | NE | 11-5 | 9.2% (11) | PIT | 12-4 | 27.0% (4) | TB | 9-7 | 7.7% (13) | CAR | 12-4 | 19.8% (6) |
| 2007 | CLE | 10-6 | 5.8% (13) | IND | 13-3 | 33.0% (2) | MIN | 8-8 | 4.9% (14) | GB | 13-3 | 21.0% (5) |
| 2006 | DEN | 9-7 | -3.7% (18) | BAL | 13-3 | 31.9% (1) | GB | 8-8 | -1.4% (14) | NO | 10-6 | 10.8% (8) |
| 2005 | KC | 10-6 | 24.4% (5) | DEN | 13-3 | 30.4% (2) | MIN | 9-7 | -18.5% (20) | CHI | 11-5 | -0.9% (16) |
| 2004 | JAX | 9-7 | 1.7% (13) | NE | 14-2 | 34.2% (2) | NO | 8-8 | -18.6% (27) | ATL | 11-5 | -4.8% (17) |
| 2003 | MIA | 10-6 | 12.8% (9) | KC | 13-3 | 30.3% (1) | MIN | 9-7 | 1.3% (14) | STL | 12-4 | 1.0% (15) |
| 2002 | DEN | 9-7 | 15.2% (8) | TEN | 11-5 | 9.2% (11) | NO | 9-7 | 6.1% (14) | TB | 12-4 | 31.6% (1) |
| 2001 | SEA | 9-7 | 0.0% (15) | NE | 11-5 | 7.9% (11) | WAS | 8-8 | -0.5% (17) | CHI | 13-3 | 15.8% (8) |
| 2000 | PIT | 9-7 | 22.6% (4) | OAK | 12-4 | 20.8% (5) | GB | 9-7 | 7.8% (13) | MIN | 11-5 | -6.3% (22) |
| 1999 | KC | 9-7 | 17.6% (4) | IND | 13-3 | 4.0% (17) | CAR | 8-8 | 1.5% (19) | TB | 11-5 | 12.3% (8) |
| 1998 | TEN | 8-8 | 1.4% (13) | NYJ | 12-4 | 28.3% (2) | TB | 8-8 | 2.2% (12) | ATL | 14-2 | 18.8% (7) |
| 1997 | NYJ | 9-7 | 2.6% (14) | PIT | 11-5 | 27.0% (5) | WAS | 8-7-1 | 3.6% (12) | GB | 13-3 | 29.7% (1) |
| 1996 | KC | 9-7 | 9.1% (10) | NE | 11-5 | 10.1% (8) | WAS | 9-7 | 10.0% (9) | CAR | 12-4 | 22.1% (5) |
| 1995 | DEN | 8-8 | 11.3% (8) | PIT | 11-5 | 20.7% (4) | CHI | 9-7 | 9.8% (9) | SF | 11-5 | 40.0% (1) |
| 1994 | OAK | 9-7 | -3.2% (14) | SD | 11-5 | 10.6% (8) | NYG | 9-7 | -7.0% (18) | DAL | 12-4 | 32.9% (1) |
| 1993 | MIA | 9-7 | 3.7% (15) | HOU | 12-4 | 16.3% (5) | PHI | 8-8 | 9.4% (11) | SF | 10-6 | 25.6% (1) |
| 1992 | IND | 9-7 | -27.2% (27) | MIA | 11-5 | 8.9% (11) | GB | 9-7 | -8.2% (18) | DAL | 13-3 | 35.1% (1) |
| 1991 | MIA | 8-8 | -1.3% (18) | DEN | 12-4 | 3.5% (12) | SF | 10-6 | 26.0% (2) | DET | 12-4 | -1.2% (17) |
| 1990 | PIT | 9-7 | 13.8% (10) | OAK | 12-4 | 26.0% (3) | DAL | 7-9 | -19.9% (23) | NYG | 13-3 | 30.8% (1) |